THE IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE FORECAST RESEARCH METHODS OF FUEL AND ENERGY COMPLEX
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
A step-by-step approach to narrowing the uncertainty of long-term fuel and energy sector development is proposed. The forecast of prices and demand in the energy markets, as well as the identification of possible barriers and restrictions on the pace of development of the energy sector systems.

Keywords:
forecasting, energy systems, modeling, uncertainty, investment risks.
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Kononov Yu.D., Gal'perova E.V., Kononov D.Yu. i dr. Metody i modeli prognoznyh issledovaniy vzaimosvyazey energetiki i ekonomiki. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 2009. 178 s.

2. Kononov Yu.D., Kononov D.Yu. Uchet vremennogo faktora pri ocenke realizuemosti variantov dolgosrochnogo razvitiya TEK // Problemy prognozirovaniya, 2009. № 2. S. 4956.

3. Voropay N.I., Trufanov V.V. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie razvitiya elektroenergetiki v sovremennyh usloviyah // Elektrichestvo, 2000. № 10.S. 6-13.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?