NEW REQUIREMENTS AND APPROACHES TO LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF ELECTRICITY PRICES
Rubrics: ELECTROENERGETICS
Authors:
Type:
Article
Pages:
from 157
to 158
Status:
Published
Received:
17.03.2020
Accepted:
05.06.2020
Published:
05.06.2020
Subject area:
BBK 312 Электроэнергетика. Электротехника
Language:
Russian
Keywords:
forecasting, energy systems, pricing, uncertainty.
Abstract (English):
The article describes a multi-stage approach, which includes: determining the dynamics of self-repayment prices (minimum supply prices), providing generating companies with breakeven operation and development; imitation of competition of these companies in regional energy markets; taking into account the possible corrective impact on the demand for electricity. The results of calculations of long-term price dynamics for two scenarios of economic development and the study of the impact of various factors on the cost of electricity are presented.
The article describes a multi-stage approach, which includes: determining the dynamics of self-repayment prices (minimum supply prices), providing generating companies with breakeven operation and development; imitation of competition of these companies in regional energy markets; taking into account the possible corrective impact on the demand for electricity. The results of calculations of long-term price dynamics for two scenarios of economic development and the study of the impact of various factors on the cost of electricity are presented.
Keywords:
forecasting, energy systems, pricing, uncertainty.
forecasting, energy systems, pricing, uncertainty.
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